We are partnering with a leading quantitative trading and digital assets firm seeking a Prediction Markets Trader to join a rapidly growing team focused on event-driven markets. This opportunity is ideal for someone who combines strong quantitative reasoning, excellent market instincts, and a passion for emerging trading venues.
You will play a key role in researching, executing, and scaling strategies across prediction markets, with exposure to a broad range of products tied to real-world events including politics, sports, economics, weather, and other high-impact outcomes.
This position offers significant autonomy, direct impact on trading performance, and the opportunity to help build trading infrastructure and processes within a fast-moving, entrepreneurial environment.
Key Responsibilities
• Manage and execute trading strategies across prediction market venues and event-driven products.
• Monitor real-time market activity and identify profitable opportunities arising from mispriced probabilities and market inefficiencies.
• Research and develop quantitative trading models to improve forecasting accuracy and execution performance.
• Analyze large datasets and market signals to generate actionable trading insights.
• Collaborate with engineering and research teams to enhance automation, execution systems, and trading workflows.
• Build tools for monitoring positions, risk, liquidity, and market activity.
• Evaluate new prediction products, trading venues, and market structures as the ecosystem evolves.
• Provide coverage during major market events where volatility and trading activity increase significantly.
• Contribute to risk management, portfolio construction, and capital allocation decisions.
• Support the continued growth and development of the firm's prediction markets initiatives.
Required Qualifications
• 1-4 years of experience in trading, quantitative research, software engineering, gambling markets, sports betting, or a highly analytical field.
• Strong Python programming skills with the ability to build analytical tools and work with market data.
• Excellent quantitative, statistical, and problem-solving abilities.
• Demonstrated interest in prediction markets, event-driven trading, sports markets, or forecasting-based products.
• Strong understanding of probability, expected value, and risk-reward dynamics.
• Ability to make high-quality decisions in fast-moving environments.
• Self-starter with an ownership mindset and strong commercial instincts.
• Comfortable operating across trading, research, analytics, and operational responsibilities.
• Strong communication skills and ability to work effectively in a collaborative team.
Preferred Experience
• Background in sports trading, betting exchanges, prediction markets, or market making.
• Experience trading crypto assets, derivatives, or electronic financial markets.
• Knowledge of statistical modeling, machine learning, or quantitative forecasting techniques.
• Familiarity with APIs, automated trading systems, and real-time data infrastructure.
• Interest in macroeconomic, political, or event-driven market themes.
